Thursday 23 December 2010

The beginning of the end of the UK Coalition Government

In reply to James Cleverly's article being nice to the LibDems, these are my thoughts.
In my humble opinion, for good or for bad, there is just no way I can see this coalition lasting the distance. Regardless of the press' tactics, alienation is clearly entrenched already right to the (very?) top of the LibDems (and no doubt ...within the Tories too, they just haven't been exposed yet) and so it seems to be an uneasy and unnatural alliance, between a bully and the bullied, quickly defended by those who benefit most from the decentralisation and redistribution of power (yet they don't like the redistribution of power via wealth, hmmmm) but plainly obvious to the rest of us with enough objectivity to critically asses the harsh political reality from outside.

Both the Tories & the LibDems are losing control of their fringes and as Yeats wisely said:

The falcon cannot hear the falconer;
Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold;

And nor will this coalition hold. So, we shall have, I predict, another election late 2011 or early 2012, Labour will be stronger, the Lib Dems will be weaker, and ironically, it may ultimately be AV that dumps the Tories out for the then more statistically popular Labour party, who given the impending impact of the cuts will be seriously strengthened.

The storm has just begun for the coalition. And already its fraying at the edges. This ship will sink. Not if, but when.

Regardless of what I personally want to happen. That's my analysis. Thoughts?

1 comment:

  1. Absolutely agree Al. The first thing Cleggy and Co should have been planning is how to bring to coalition down on their terms in a safe way. If they haven't been (and if Mr Cable's comments are anything to go by, they have been) then more fools they cos, as you say, it's a question of when, not if. All you can influence is how.